Last Updated on 10 years by Charbel Coorey
As a huge Bangladesh fan, 2014 has been a terrible year. 14 ODIs, 13 defeats with one no result and a poor World T20 campaign at home. You know it’s been a bad year when the highlight is beating Afghanistan and Nepal in the World T20 qualifying stage to just about seal passage through to the main stage despite a humiliating defeat to Hong Kong. The West Indies, on the other hand will be looking to build on their 3-0 ODI triumph as well as their semi final appearance in the World T20.
Ahead of this one off T20 International, it pains me to say that all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable West Indies win. They have the power with the likes of Chris Gayle, Darren Sammy and Kieron Pollard, the bowlers who have done well in this format such as Sunil Narine and most importantly, the confidence and T20 know-how. Bangladesh, on the other hand have struggled in T20 internationals for quite some time, even when they were performing really well in ODIs in 2012 and 2013. This match can hurt Bangladesh’s confidence even more if they aren’t on their game.
From a batting point of view, the West Indies have the ability to send chills down any bowling lineup’s spine. Just ask the Australian team about what they went through in the World T20 against a fired up Windies side. Below is a summary comparing career averages and strike rates of the batsmen I consider most important in each side: West Indies – Chris Gayle: Avg 32.60, SR 135.55; Kieron Pollard: Avg 22.14 SR 146.56, Darren Sammy: Avg 16.65 SR 151.88 Bangladesh – Tamim Iqbal: Avg 20.93 SR 105.98, Nasir Hossain: Avg 23.13 SR 116.44, Mushfiqur Rahim: Avg 19.34 SR 117.24 It’s easy to see why the West Indies have had T20I success over the last few years with the strike rates that these players have. Chris Gayle can provide a blistering start, Pollard can continue that in the middle overs and Sammy has proven to be a wonderful finisher. This, against a moderate bowling attack that has generally struggled to keep the runs down in T20Is, along with the absence of Shakib Al Hasan, the St. Kitts crowd could be in for something special.
Bangladesh lack the power that the West Indies possess but if they are to have any chance, they have to reduce the number of dot balls they play. In ODIs this year, they’ve struggled to rotate the strike and this creeps into their T20 games. It’s not good enough to score a 4 or 6 and have 3 or 4 dot balls afterwards – you don’t make use of your boundaries well enough. This is why I suggest Bangladesh put Nasir Hossain at 3 or 4, he’s excellent at accumulating runs and scoring quickly without taking too many risks and he can be key in the middle overs especially against Sunil Narine who has tormented the Bangladeshi batsmen so far. Tamim Iqbal is also one to watch, he has the ability to score quickly and cause headaches for bowling attacks in the absence of Shakib and for Bangladesh’s sake, they’d be hoping he does that in St Kitts. In addition, if captain Mushfiqur Rahim spends time in the middle, he’s in for a fine score as he’s good at rotating the strike and striking big in the final overs.
Big Picture: The West Indies are rightly hot favourites to take out this lone T20 International. They are playing with more confidence than their opponents and have a number of batsmen and bowlers than can turn the match in their team’s favour. For Bangladesh, they have to be near perfect – take early wickets, bowl well at the death and keep the runs ticking with the bat if they are any chance to challenge the West Indies here. If Bangladesh are off their game (which looks likely considering their last two ODI performances), the West Indies will canter to an easy win.
My Prediction: Despite being a massive Bangladesh fan, I fear the worst here. If the West Indies bat first, expect a win by 35+ runs. If they bat second, expect a win with time to spare.
