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6 big predictions for BBL edition 7

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Last Updated on 7 years by Charbel Coorey

[Updated after first game of BBL]

One of the best T20 leagues in the world, and arguably the best sporting competition in Australia, is here.

Edition seven of the Big Bash is off and running, and already promises to be another exciting season. A nice change from the ongoing one-sided Ashes series, can the Perth Scorchers go back-to-back and pick up their fourth title? Who will be the surprise package – what can the Melbourne Renegades achieve this season? Can Sydney Thunder make a big improvement after finishing bottom last season?

In T20 cricket, anything can happen and the unpredictability of the BBL is what makes it so exciting. Making predictions about a competition like this is a challenge, but thought I’d give it a go.

Here are my six big predictions for BBL07:

Leading wicket taker – Rashid Khan (Adelaide Strikers)

Fans may not have heard of Rashid Khan, but they will know all about him once BBL07 is over. Afghanistan’s 19 year old leg spinning sensation, Rashid Khan has played in T20 leagues around the world including the Indian Premier League, Caribbean Premier League, and Bangladesh Premier League.
In 78 T20s, he has taken 112 wickets at an average of 15.66 and economy rate of 5.84. His control is absolutely superb, rarely ever bowling a bad ball as he just builds the pressure on the batsmen. Rashid Khan is a fantastic pick up by the Adelaide Strikers, and can give their thin squad a real boost.

Rashid Khan has been super impressive in T20 leagues around the world

Leading run scorer – Kevin Pietersen (Melbourne Stars)

This a really tough one, with the likes of Brendon McCullum, Ben Dunk, Aaron Finch, Jason Roy, Glenn Maxwell, Jos Buttler, Moises Henriques and Michael Klinger all in the running for a big season.

Chris Lynn is one of the likeliest candidates and I was thinking really hard about what he can do this season. But, he is coming back from a serious shoulder injury which gives me doubt about his impact. He is a superstar though, and has won countless matches for the Brisbane Heat, including an incredible win from the dead against Sydney Thunder last season. He is one of the cleanest hitters of the ball going around and is very hard to stop when he gets going.

I will go with the man who is still good enough to be playing for England – KP. Even though he has played only two T20s since February, Kevin Pietersen has the ability to help the Stars go all the way this season. One of the Stars’ key batsmen, even more so when Glenn Maxwell goes on international duty for Australia, KP can either set up an innings or explode towards the end. It’s a big call to say a 37 year old will be the top run-scorer, but KP is a one-of-a-kind player.

One positive is that we will no longer have KP in commentary for the Ashes, even though we’ll probably see him in commentary throughout the Big Bash (damn).

Kevin Pietersen is still a class player.

Surprise team

Melbourne Renegades.

In previous seasons, Melbourne Renegades have been one of those mid-table teams that don’t go too far. However, they have a team that can trouble teams in BBL07.

The Renegades team consists of plenty of experience, and will be competitive in most, if not all, of their games. Aaron Finch is a proven limited overs international player, and with the likes of Brad Hodge, Brad Hogg and Cameron White, the Renegades possess plenty of cricket know-how. Tim Ludeman is also a prized scalp from Adelaide, and with international players Dwayne Bravo, Mohammad Nabi, and Kieron Pollard, Melbourne Renegades possess a pretty well-rounded squad and will surprise quite a few people.

How far they can go will also depend on how their bowling goes, which has been a real weak spot in recent seasons.

Melbourne Renegades have a decent squad this season

Bottom team

Adelaide Strikers.
Despite picking Rashid Khan as the leading wicket taker, it’s hard to see Adelaide making any significant impact this season. They’ve lost their top players – Ben Dunk, Brad Hodge and Kane Richardson, and
their batting line up is really thin on experience. They have been touted as a team who are in the “progression” phase.
The Sydney Thunder and Hobart Hurricanes, said to be contenders for the wooden spoon, have a little more in terms of experience, and I expect those two teams (as well as every other team) to finish above Adelaide.

Winners

Perth Scorchers.
There are a few teams that can give the competition a real shake. However, it is really hard to go past Perth, despite missing players to international duty.
In the six BBL editions to date, Perth have reached the final five times, and have won the title three times. They know what it takes to go all the way, have a formidable home record, and will welcome back the Marsh boys and Cameron Bancroft after the Test series is over. Perth’s bowling attack is well-rounded and familiar to us all, and once again will ask plenty of questions to all opponents. 
Will Perth lose a game at home this season? It will certainly be a tough ask for any travelling team.
Perth Scorchers are well equipped to go back-to-back

Big Bash will have a disappointing end

With all the excitement (and rightly so) heading into the Big Bash, it worries me that this competition is ending in February.
The BBL will feature 43 games in 47 days, which is fine because there is so much demand for it. However, the concern is that the competition’s high point – the finals – will be played on school nights. Will interest remain high?
I say this because in 2014, the last time the competition ended in February, Melbourne Stars hosted Hobart Hurricanes in a semi-final at the MCG. Just over 12,000 people showed up, which was even more terrible considering Melbourne Stars were previously undefeated in that season. A day later, Perth hosted Sydney Sixers in the second semi final, and again just over 12,000 people went through the gates.
A crowd unworthy of a semi final – Melbourne Stars v Hobart 2014
I know that the BBL has gone in leaps and bounds since then, but there is always a risk of a meek finish when the competition is longer, and ends when less families will go to the matches due to other commitments. It remains to be seen if the competition will end with a bang, unlike the 2013/14 edition.
In the meantime, it promises to be another awesome summer of Big Bash action.
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Charbel Coorey
Charbel Cooreyhttps://cricblog.net
Charbel is the owner & founder of cricblog.net, based in Sydney, Australia. He started the website to fulfill his love for the game of cricket. Charbel has been featured on other publications including OP India, Times of India, and The Roar, among others. He is also a keen fantasy sports player. Charbel has also had the privilege of interviewing cricketers on the CricBlog TV YouTube channel, including James Neesham, Rassie van der Dussen, Andrew Tye, Shreyas Gopal, Jaydev Unadkat and Saurabh Netravalkar: https://www.youtube.com/@cricblogtv For any story tips or questions, you can contact Charbel at charbelcoorey@cricblog.net.

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