Last Updated on 7 months by Charbel Coorey

Afghanistan’s outstanding victory over Australia in the Super 8s has opened group 1 up magnificently. An Australian victory would have sealed their passage to the semi-finals along with India, but now so many scenarios are possible on the final matchday.

Australia take on India on Monday at 10:30am local time at St Lucia. Afghanistan take on Bangladesh in the night game at Kingstown, the ground where Rashid Khan’s team took down Australia on Saturday night.

Here is a look at the current standings and the scenarios for each team heading into the final day of the Super 8s.

Scenarios for Group 1 of the Super 8s: Who will progress through to the 2024 T20 World Cup Semi-Finals?

India

Rohit Sharma’s team is beautifully placed. However, they need to avoid a heavy defeat to Australia to ensure there is no risk of a very unlikely elimination.

To finish above Australia, India only need to avoid losing by less than 40 runs or 31 balls to spare.

Australia

Australia face an interesting situation. They could still qualify to the semi-finals even if they lose to India (by a small enough margin), provided Bangladesh beats Afghanistan (by a small enough margin) in Kingstown.

Also, Australia could be eliminated even if they beat India. If Afghanistan beats Bangladesh very comfortably, they can overtake them on net run rate.

Let’s say Australia and Afghanistan bat first in their respective matches and post 170 each. If Australia limit India to 150, their net run rate will improve to 0.527. For Australia to progress, they will need Bangladesh to score 103 or more in the same scenario.

Afghanistan

Afghanistan can still qualify if they beat Bangladesh by a big margin and Australia beat India by a small margin, as mentioned above. However, their best hope is India beating Australia and then going on to beat Bangladesh by any margin.

Afghanistan lead Bangladesh 6-5 head-to-head in T20Is, so Rashid Khan’s team will back their chances.

Bangladesh

Bangladesh still have a ray of hope. They first need India to smash Australia. Then, they need to beat Afghanistan by a big margin.

A scenario. If Australia loses by 55 runs or with 41 balls to spare, Bangladesh can qualify if they win by at least 31 runs or with 23 balls to spare.

The way Bangladesh are playing, the chances of qualification are certainly slim. However, cricket is a funny game.

It promises to be an interesting day of T20 cricket with a number of scenarios possible. It will be interesting to see which teams hold their nerve best with the semi-finals approaching. All to play for.